Posted by
Sanity 102 on Saturday, September 08, 2007 8:56:07 PM
A while ago I wrote about the candidates running for President on the Right. It is based solely on my perception of the American voter...ALL the voters, not just those who agree with me. I am not a great fan of published polls as I am well aware of how easily polls can be manipulated...a case in point, EVERY call in poll lists Ron Paul the winner--and if you seriously believe that, I've got a bridge in San Francisco I've got rights to sell.
Today, since we are less than two years away of proving my predictions right--or wrong, I thought I'd include some on the Left, starting with the candidate most likely to win.
Hillary Clinton
Primary: 62%
General: 52% ++
Hil will get the usual Democratic support...Blacks and Women. But a HUGE factor in any popularity contest (which elections are) is the "likability" component. Hil has a voice like nails across a chalk board. Her appearance reminds people of that stern and unforgiving teacher that inspired no one and fueled no juvenile boy's dreams.
Women who are expected to play mother, sex partner AND help to bring home the bacon will unconsciously dislike what Hillary represents and men who pay lip service to woman equality also resent women like Hillary who makes being polite and gentlemanly risky and confusing.
Yet count on a President Hillary...why? Because the Democrats understand that you have to win in order to play. They will close ranks and put their best chance to win back the White House in 2008, even if they dislike her personally. The MSM and the Liberal elites will push her good points and over look her bad...and they will promise the public something they haven't had for 6 years...a president that isn't being attacked by BOTH parties and is expected to be perfect.
(Foot note: Hillary winning the General is conditional on the public's perception of America's Islamic threat...if we get attacked again, look for America turning to the GOP to fill the Commander in Chief slot.)
Rudy Giulani
Primary: 71%
General: 49%
Rudy has to pass Christian Pro-lifers who dislike his multiple marriages, his pro-abortion and social stands, and the fact that not even his own children will support him. But the more the sanctimonious and racist sounding absolutes push, the more desperate the Right becomes. The illegal immigration issue tanked Hunter's chances and the lack of loyalty toward Bush and Huckabee who refused to get caught up with all the vitriolic hate just about handed over the nation's largest voting block to the Liberals.
Those who put the war on terror as their top priority are looking for someone who can actually beat Hillary and keep the only party that is serious about continuing the WOT in the White House and as Commander of the world's greatest military.
The absolutists have wasted 2 years--and will waste 18 more months--trying to find that perfect, but unelectable candidate to head the GOP ticket.
Then come the Primary...the REAL base will vote for the guy who they think can beat Hillary.
Unfortunately, it will be too late.
Obama & Romney- Twin darlings of the media
Primary: 33%
General: 15%
Obama is young, beautiful, articulate, intelligent. He's White enough for White America and Black enough for everyone else. He's got a wife that is even more qualified than he is.
Romney is a billionaire businessman...went to the right schools...have the right degrees...knows the right people. He's got great children and a good marriage.
Both are the Left's and the Right's DREAM BOYS.
But the public ain't buying.
Neither has anything in common with the people they hope to lead.
Obama went to school in exotic Hawaii and spent his childhood internationally...this screams "ONE WORLD ORDER". For the minority, he is the token Black with the wife that can show that b*itchiness has no color. Worst of all, he is a candidate that BELIEVES in socialism and that he can and should change the world
Romney is a member of the "secret" religion that values family, community, and things like boy scouts and giving a 10th of their riches to God's work. He is a man that grew up as far away from the hood and street life as a person can get. He is a man that appears not to have any personal stories to tell of why he feels strongly about rape or child abuse or any of the 1001 things that pulls the heart strings of the American voter.
Kennedy fought in a war among guys who...as he said never asked how much money his family had.
Bush was expected to roll up his sleeve and work with the ranch hands.
Clinton has a black sheep brother and was no prize himself in the conduct category.
Reagan was an actor who got dumped by his first wife.
None of the previous presidents were perfect.
The American voter seems to like it that way.
The Others:
Huckabee: I personally like the guy but he reminds me of Bush in that he seems to truly believe in America and people in general. I do not think he will tell the media where to stick it---and we need someone strong enough (or charming enough) to get at least one side of the media OFF the president's back.
Hunter: Oh this man broke my heart! Or rather, the absolutists did. Their vitriolic hatred tanked Hunter's chances. Period.
McCain: Someone said that John reminded him of Dole. I agree. All the way to his being a war hero. Unfortunately, as Dole did not beat the Clinton machine...neither would McCain.
Edwards: Oh geez...talk about clueless. Edward's $400 hair cut was so far out of the ordinary public's reach, they will NEVER identify with him,
Thompson and the other candidate on the Left are another set of twins...both are supposed to generate interest but Thompson, unlike that other actor (Reagan), can't seem to keep good speech writers and all I know about the other candidate is that he is Hispanic...I don't even know his name.
Ron Paul is the feel good candidate...every time, the Right does something stupid, we look at Ron Paul and his supporters and say..."SEE, THAT is crazy."